The financial tsunami began with bad credit but is rippling on to all financial institutions in ways and through relationships that I am not qualified to explain. Common sense tells us that the loss of trust in financial institutions, leading directly to the exit of investors in all industries, with the falling indices matched by the falling demand for non-essential consumer goods… the financial depression will also lead to the consumer cutting back on FMCG purchases.
The first to go would be the regularly purchased premium goods, such as our good ol’ Starbucks coffee. Starbucks has reported a 97% plunge in their 4Q profits and will close 600 stores – presuming a conservative average of 10 employees per branch, that would be some 6,000 employees out in the streets. Branded goods will not see an immediate fall since we don’t purchase an MTM facial cleansing set every other day. Not only is the customer loyalty to branded goods stronger, but they tend to survive on a smaller affluent market who are not immediately affected by the downturn.
As the economic situation worsens and is felt more keenly in everyday life, consumers will begin to make brand switches on a massive scale. Top brands in FMCG are likely to suffer as consumers buy facial wash or shaver brands that would save them a few dollars and still perform satisfactorily. If we ever hit a significant depression, these decisions may extend on a wide scale to cheaper products, such as shampoo or coffee powder.
Japanese FMCGs have found an interesting brand strategy for their domestic-driven, over-saturated consumer market. Operating with leaner profit margins, there is a greater range of lower to middle range products that are extremely fast moving. Seasonal offerings form the spike in earnings while the brand is built through a combination of flagship and seasonal products. Through consistent branding, they are able to offer a range to satisfy the sampling appetite of the Japanese consumer while building an overall strong brand. There is more than a single lesson in this strategy which I will bring up later.
Back to the current situation: advertising had made credit sound so risk-free to the point that loans had become an FMCG in the sense of how it had utterly transformed the consumer’s purchasing process for large ticket items. Lucrative loan packages have provided record profits for banks, but have led consumers with poor financial habits to bankruptcy. Definitely not a happy marriage. Other companies offering consumer goods with the option of paying through interest-free monthly installments are faced with the same question: what is the moral responsibility of my company to my consumers?
I would propose that it is a question that FMCG companies would need to answer as well. While FMCGs are not directly responsible for bankruptcies, they do, in many cases, offer channels for bad habits, such as impulsive and overbuying, overeating and surprise, physical laziness. Even when products are not a direct medium for bad habits, the way that FMCGs are advertised and portrayed presupposes and moulds consumer habits. Even when the responsibility for bad habits may not be that of the FMCG company, the moulding of consumer perception and buying behaviour certainly is. Simply put, if we want a company to continue on to posterity, it would depend more on healthy happy people living long lives than unhappy people who use the product for only a couple of years before we need to find more unhappy people to target.
The question that needs to be asked is “What is the real value that I am providing to my consumers’ lives that is not measured in dollars and cents?” This is not counter-intuitive to an industry driven by profit. There will not be any profit to be made if your strategy or your market is not sustainable. A sustainable strategy must offer real value to a consumer’s life – it must somehow extend or support life. Only when you have a product providing a real, non-superficial value, (which may be transient or age-based), would you have real sustainability in a product, bringing the product life through generations.
For example, it would be a moral decision not to offer mega, oversized-packs of potato chips in order not to encourage consumers to buy or eat more than what they need. While these are great for parties, these chips land up in front and inside of obese people. In Asian markets, where chip-binging is not habitual, parties manage just as well through buying a range and selection of chips. This is where the Japanese strategy would come in useful in addressing the consumer appetite for variety and change. If our customers do not die of cholesterol-related diseases – it does mean that they would continue consuming the product for a much longer period of time.
Investing in developing healthier products and helping the consumer develop healthier buying habits is not necessary a paradox. Both good and bad living habits are passed down through the generations, and through other friends we are influenced by. Bad habits that are detrimental to your quality of life, such as smoking, binging or overleveraging on credit, may either shorten your life or land you in a poverty cycle. Neither of these would benefit FMCG companies. We can't point the finger at the financial industry and say that this mess is all their fault. Who gave the idea to consumers of quick and fast purchases that make them feel good? Who offered unhealthy food or supported unhealthy lifestyles that resulted in unforeseen medical bills that finally pushed bad credit over the edge? We are all part of the same ecosystem and each have a responsibility.
Companies may argue that if they don’t resort to such “overselling”, they would lose out to the competitors. Or even in the idyllic setting where this becomes a strategy in FMCG industries, other industries shaping consumer purchasing patterns may prove such a naïve approach laughable. The fact is that we have collectively created today’s consumer purchasing pattern. It is also a fact that in some cases, single companies or industries have changed the consumer’s mindset (think instant food or McDonald’s). The responsible product behaviour suggested here may go against the tide, but with the appropriate marketing and communications, it is a sustainable and profitable strategy for brands and for their companies.